Influenza

Early use of a partially-matched influenza vaccine alongside social distancing reduces hospital utilisation and mortality

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In a simulation study using a dynamic disease model for the UK, Sam Lovick Consulting with colleagues, Van Hung Nguyen and Allen Bollands, show the value of early intervention in an influenza pandemic using a partially-matched vaccine. The simulation assumed that the partially-matched vaccines is less effective at reducing transmission than a matched vaccine that […]

COVID-19

COVID-19 roadmap to recovery

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Published in the Australian Financial Review, Dr Brian McNamee AO (writing in his personal capacity) and Sam Lovick question whether Premier Andrews’ roadmap to recovery is the right path. We conclude that Daniel Andrews should move to reduce lock down measures in regional Victoria immediately and should move to do so more quickly in Melbourne. The […]

Gas and electricty

Our Final Report on compensation for AEMO directions in SA in early February 2020 is released

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AEMO appointed Sam Lovick from Sam Lovick Consulting as the independent expert to determine compensation for Package 2 of additional compensation claims for directions in South Australia between 31 January and 09 February 2020. The public report on the draft determinations can be found here. Our commentary can be found here. The report highlights some of […]

COVID-19

COVID-19. Where to from here?

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In a recent article published in the Financial Review, Sam Lovick reviews whether the costs and benefits of Australia’s current approach to the COVID-19 pandemic stack up. This longer paper provides more information on the disease modelling that we used to understand what the best mode of intervention in the pandemic might be.

COVID-19

A managed spread of COVID-19 may be best

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In a recent article published in the Financial Review, Sam Lovick reviews whether the costs and benefits of Australia’s current approach to the COVID-19 pandemic stack up. Based on our modelling, which links dynamic disease modelling and broader economic modelling, we conclude that there are alternative modes of intervention that would have a much lower […]